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BTC News Reactions

A self-collected dataset joining multilingual crypto news to forward Bitcoin price reactions, from one minute out to twenty-four hours. Published on Hugging Face.

publishedHugging Facedataset · NLP · time series

// evidence

observations
120,981
horizon
1m – 24h
hosted
Hugging Face
collection
self-collected

// What is in it

120,981 observations. Each pairs a news item with what the Bitcoin price did afterwards, measured across horizons from one minute to twenty-four hours.

The collection is the point. Most dataset entries in a portfolio are someone else’s download.

// What this kind of dataset has to get right

Availability, not timestamp
What matters is when a story was actually readable, not the time printed on it. Training on a 09:00 article to predict an 08:55 move is look-ahead bias in a clean shirt.
Time zones
An Asian market, an exchange on UTC and a newsroom on local time is the quietest source of error in the entire pipeline.
A time-based split
A random split on a time series disqualifies the result before anyone gets as far as reading the metric.

// How it should be judged

By prediction quality — AUC, information coefficient, hit rate against a baseline that says the next move looks like the last one.

Not by backtest returns. A returns curve with no transaction costs in it reads as a mistake rather than a result.